Price DROP: Close-to-Open
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When I bought some stock at the Open and that turned out to be the Low for the day, I figured I should investigate how often that happens,
and what additional drops might occur throughout the day and ...
>The spreadsheet, please?
Patience.
So:
- I download 10 years worth of price data
- Identify the days where the price drops from previousClose
(that'd be yesterday's Close) to Open (that's today's Open).
- See what additional drop occurs, to the Low (from today's Open to today's Low).
- Count the number of these additional drops in each interval ('cause nico found I don't count good).
- Stick all that info in a gaggle of charts.
Click on the picture to download the spreadsheet.
See the red rectangles?
It says that, for GE stock, if it opens down (about) 1.0%, then it will drop another 1.3% (on average) and that's an average over 33 occurrences. **
>It will drop? Don't you mean it has, in the past 10 years?
But the future is a replica of the past ... isn't it?
Here's a few more:
** I've changed the spreadsheet so it shows percentages:
Price RISE: Close-to-Open
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It occurs to me that the asymmetry in that spreadsheet is unsettling so ...
>Asymmetry?
You know, looking only at days when the price decreases and ignoring days where it increases, so I ...
>You change the spreadsheet, right?
Stop interrupting me!
Yes, I changed the spreadsheet so you can see both. Just click on which you want.
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For example:
>That's it?
That's it.
>But will that scheme work? I mean, can you make any money?
Hmmm ... good question.
World's Best Buy & Sell Ritual
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Try this to see if'n y'all do better than Buy & Hold::
Click on the picture to download the spreadsheet.
>Hey! It works!!
Try changing the Down and Up percentages in cells N3 and O3 ... then come back and say that again.
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