the Future    

For I dip'd into the future
Far as human eye can see
Saw the bears of Autumn
come upon the lea

… and the lows of July for the S & P  

... and when it falls, how long does it take to recover ?

Total Percentage Loss = %
Months over which the above loss occurred = months
Time to Recover = months

  assuming gains are at the same rate as losses :^)

... and the TSE  

See also the Portfolio Blues    

>So why don't you predict the future? I mean, actual values ...
Okay, starting on August 30, 2002, eh?    

   

>But ... uh, how in the world do you predict ...?

The predictions are based upon a sophisticated analysis including the application of Ito-calculus, an affine transformation of the 1973-75 S&P time series, incorporation of current events (as reported by CNN) ... and an appeal to a powerful analytical tool

>Well, I'd say you're doin' a lousy job.